Season outlook · 26/27

What does the 26/27 season look like?

Twelve windows, 96 mountains, ten winters of record. For each half-month we counted how many mountains actually cleared their bet — not what a brochure promised, not what a model guesses. Against a 24″ bet, the strongest stretch of the season is Jan 1–15, where 23 of 96 delivered in 8 of the last 10. How our odds work.

The season, in order

The bet is 12″ of new snow per week, scaled to each window's length. A mountain "cleared it" in a season if that window delivered the whole figure.

Read the bet, not just the count. Scaling rounds to clean steps, so the 16-day windows ask 30″ where the 15-day ones ask 24″ — a quarter more snow for one extra day. Counts compare cleanly between windows carrying the same bet; across different bets they don't, and we'd rather say so than let a bigger number look like better snow.

Nov

Nov 1–15

24″ bet
8 of 96 mountains cleared the 24″ bet in 8 of the last 10

21 cleared it in 6 of 10 or better
- Sunshine Village AB 10 of 10
- Mt Baker WA 8 of 10 · 1 bust
- Whitewater BC 8 of 10
Nov

Nov 16–30

24″ bet
9 of 96 mountains cleared the 24″ bet in 8 of the last 10

44 cleared it in 6 of 10 or better
- Whitewater BC 9 of 10 · 1 bust
- Jackson Hole WY 9 of 10
- Jay Peak VT 9 of 10
Dec

Dec 1–15

24″ bet
10 of 96 mountains cleared the 24″ bet in 8 of the last 10

31 cleared it in 6 of 10 or better
- Mt Baker WA 10 of 10
- Crystal Mountain WA 8 of 10
- Jackson Hole WY 8 of 10
Dec

Dec 16–31

30″ bet
25 of 96 mountains cleared the 30″ bet in 8 of the last 10

37 cleared it in 6 of 10 or better
- Whistler Blackcomb BC 10 of 10
- Mt Baker WA 9 of 10
- Crystal Mountain WA 9 of 10
Jan

Jan 1–15

24″ bet
23 of 96 mountains cleared the 24″ bet in 8 of the last 10

45 cleared it in 6 of 10 or better
- Stevens Pass WA 9 of 10
- Mt Bachelor OR 9 of 10
- Crystal Mountain WA 9 of 10
Jan

Jan 16–31

30″ bet
1 of 96 mountains cleared the 30″ bet in 8 of the last 10

19 cleared it in 6 of 10 or better
- Mt Baker WA 9 of 10
- Alta UT 7 of 10 · 2 busts
- Brighton UT 7 of 10 · 2 busts
Feb

Feb 1–15

24″ bet
18 of 96 mountains cleared the 24″ bet in 8 of the last 10

58 cleared it in 6 of 10 or better
- Big Sky MT 9 of 10
- Wolf Creek CO 9 of 10
- Mt Baker WA 8 of 10
Feb

Feb 16–28/29

24″ bet
22 of 96 mountains cleared the 24″ bet in 8 of the last 10

48 cleared it in 6 of 10 or better
- Mt Hood Meadows OR 10 of 10
- Timberline OR 10 of 10
- Grand Targhee WY 10 of 10
Mar

Mar 1–15

24″ bet
21 of 96 mountains cleared the 24″ bet in 8 of the last 10

60 cleared it in 6 of 10 or better
- Mt Baker WA 9 of 10
- Sugar Bowl CA 8 of 10 · 1 bust
- Kirkwood CA 8 of 10 · 1 bust
Mar

Mar 16–31

30″ bet
12 of 96 mountains cleared the 30″ bet in 8 of the last 10

38 cleared it in 6 of 10 or better
- Silverton Mountain CO 9 of 10 · 1 bust
- Alta UT 8 of 10 · 1 bust
- Brighton UT 8 of 10 · 1 bust
Apr

Apr 1–15

24″ bet
14 of 96 mountains cleared the 24″ bet in 8 of the last 10

34 cleared it in 6 of 10 or better
- Alta UT 10 of 10
- Big Sky MT 10 of 10
- Snowbird UT 10 of 10
Apr

Apr 16–30

24″ bet
19 of 96 mountains cleared the 24″ bet in 8 of the last 10

27 cleared it in 6 of 10 or better
- Loveland CO 10 of 10
- Breckenridge CO 10 of 10
- Arapahoe Basin CO 10 of 10

That's the season. What's yours?

This page is the whole mountain range's season. Yours has a days target, a home mountain, a drive shed and a few weekends you can't take off — and those turn twelve windows into a handful that are actually yours. The planner builds that calendar, window by window, with the odds on every slot.

Build your season →

Free. Takes an email — that's the whole gate, and the outlook above stays open either way.

Strongest standing bet, by region

One line per region: the single mountain-and-window pair with the best record on file.

Region	Mountains	Best window	Bet	Delivered
Alberta	4	Sunshine Village · Nov 1–15	24″+	10 of 10
British Columbia	11	Whistler Blackcomb · Dec 16–31	30″+	10 of 10
Colorado	20	Loveland · Apr 16–30	24″+	10 of 10
Northern Rockies	8	Big Sky · Apr 1–15	24″+	10 of 10
Pacific NW	8	Mt Baker · Dec 1–15	24″+	10 of 10
Utah	10	Alta · Apr 1–15	24″+	10 of 10
Northeast	13	Jay Peak · Jan 1–15	24″+	9 of 10
California/Tahoe	9	Sugar Bowl · Mar 1–15	24″+	8 of 10 · 1 bust
Southwest	10	Taos Ski Valley · Feb 1–15	24″+	8 of 10
Quebec/Ontario	3	Mont Tremblant · Jan 1–15	24″+	2 of 10 · 1 bust

These are historical odds from real winters — not a forecast. Inside 16 days of a trip a forecast is the better instrument; beyond that, counting seasons is the honest play. Every number on this page is quoted under methodology v1.2.0, the same math we grade ourselves against in public.