Atlas · Northern Rockies · WY
Grand Targhee
9,920′ summit · 2,270′ vert · 2,602 acres · avg 500″/yr
Strong bet — Feb 16–28/29
Delivered 24″+ in 10 of the last 10 seasons
Over 20 winters: 17 of 20 · typical 42", most land 27"–52"
Before you book
This bet missed 0 of the last 10.
None of the last 10 came in under 8″ — a bust, under a third of the bet.
Odds count natural snowfall only. At snowmaking-dependent resorts, early-season cover can be fine in a low-natural-snow year.
The season, window by window
The bet: 12″ of new snow per week, scaled to each window. Counted from real seasons — how our odds work.
Grand Targhee · the shape of a typical winter
Typical new snow, window by window
The middle season — median new snow per window, counted from the last 20 winters. A picture of timing, not a forecast. Snow is streaky; hover any window for the usual range.
| Window | Bet | Delivered | Verdict | Typical | Biggest | Leanest |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1–15 | 24″+ | 6 of 10 · 2 busts | Solid odds | 33" | 98" 2017 | 2" 2016 |
| Nov 16–30 | 24″+ | 8 of 10 | Strong bet | 32" | 85" 2017 | 11" 2009 |
| Dec 1–15 | 24″+ | 7 of 10 | Solid odds | 39" | 89" 2016 | 4" 2011 |
| Dec 16–31 | 30″+ | 8 of 10 · 2 busts | Strong bet | 48" | 94" 2025 | 5" 2019 |
| Jan 1–15 | 24″+ | 9 of 10 | Strong bet | 40" | 81" 2017 | 5" 2012 |
| Jan 16–31 | 30″+ | 5 of 10 · 1 bust | Coin flip | 36" | 91" 2012 | 4" 2007 |
| Feb 1–15 | 24″+ | 8 of 10 | Strong bet | 44" | 116" 2017 | 9" 2022 |
| Feb 16–28/29 | 24″+ | 10 of 10 | Strong bet | 42" | 64" 2025 | 8" 2010 |
| Mar 1–15 | 24″+ | 8 of 10 | Strong bet | 37" | 87" 2014 | 9" 2015 |
| Mar 16–31 | 30″+ | 7 of 10 | Solid odds | 47" | 75" 2009 | 13" 2007 |
| Apr 1–15 | 24″+ | 8 of 10 | Strong bet | 38" | 109" 2018 | 14" 2016 |
| Apr 16–30 | 24″+ | 8 of 10 | Strong bet | 31" | 105" 2017 | 12" 2016 |
Biggest and leanest are the two ends of the same 20 winters Typical is counted from — the year is when it happened, most recent first where more than one season ties.
At the snow sensor
Reading the snow sensor…
Field notes
The Tetons' west-side snow farm — light Wyoming powder piling onto friendly, open, gladed terrain that skis effortlessly. It lacks Jackson's steeps but delivers more untracked mornings per trip than almost anywhere.
Basing in Driggs keeps it cheap; the resort sits well above town on Ski Hill Road. Cat skiing on Peaked Mountain is a reasonable splurge. It pairs with a Jackson trip over Teton Pass, weather permitting, for storm flexibility.
Watch this window
We'll email you when Grand Targhee's odds move on the Feb 16–28/29 window — and the quote gets recorded as it stands today, so we can be graded on it later.
Planning a whole season? See the season outlook.
These are historical odds from the last 20 winters — not a forecast. Inside 16 days of a trip, a forecast is the better instrument; beyond that, counting real seasons is the honest play. Every number on this page is quoted under methodology v1.2.0, the same math we grade ourselves against in public.