Powder Compass

Atlas · Pacific NW · OR

Timberline

8,540′ summit · 3,690′ vert · 1,415 acres · avg 400″/yr

Strong bet — Feb 16–28/29

Delivered 24″+ in 10 of the last 10 seasons

Over 20 winters: 16 of 20 · typical 48", most land 30"–55"

Before you book

This bet missed 0 of the last 10.

None of the last 10 came in under 8″ — a bust, under a third of the bet.

Odds count natural snowfall only. At snowmaking-dependent resorts, early-season cover can be fine in a low-natural-snow year.

The season, window by window

The bet: 12″ of new snow per week, scaled to each window. Counted from real seasons — how our odds work.

Timberline · the shape of a typical winter

Typical new snow, window by window

The middle season — median new snow per window, counted from the last 20 winters. A picture of timing, not a forecast. Snow is streaky; hover any window for the usual range.

0 30 60 90" NovDecJanFebMarApr
Window Bet Delivered Verdict Typical Biggest Leanest
Nov 1–15 24″+ 5 of 10 · 4 busts Coin flip 12" 73" 2020 0" 2019
Nov 16–30 24″+ 6 of 10 · 1 bust Solid odds 31" 71" 2022 1" 2008
Dec 1–15 24″+ 8 of 10 Strong bet 24" 81" 2021 2" 2011
Dec 16–31 30″+ 8 of 10 · 1 bust Strong bet 55" 130" 2021 5" 2013
Jan 1–15 24″+ 9 of 10 Strong bet 34" 167" 2020 2" 2015
Jan 16–31 30″+ 5 of 10 · 1 bust Coin flip 26" 99" 2018 1" 2015
Feb 1–15 24″+ 8 of 10 Strong bet 26" 103" 2021 1" 2015
Feb 16–28/29 24″+ 10 of 10 Strong bet 48" 104" 2018 3" 2015
Mar 1–15 24″+ 8 of 10 Strong bet 32" 78" 2026 0" 2015
Mar 16–31 30″+ 6 of 10 · 2 busts Solid odds 32" 85" 2025 8" 2019
Apr 1–15 24″+ 6 of 10 · 1 bust Solid odds 23" 90" 2022 4" 2016
Apr 16–30 24″+ 4 of 10 · 4 busts Coin flip 10" 52" 2017 1" 2019

Biggest and leanest are the two ends of the same 20 winters Typical is counted from — the year is when it happened, most recent first where more than one season ties.

At the snow sensor

Reading the snow sensor…

Field notes

The only year-round lift operation in the country — summer laps on the Palmer snowfield above the historic WPA-built lodge on Hood's flank. Winter terrain is mellow; the magic is the setting and the calendar.

The lodge itself — famous as an exterior in The Shining — is worth a night. It pairs with Meadows for a Hood trip: Timberline for atmosphere and spring turns, Meadows for terrain.

Watch this window

We'll email you when Timberline's odds move on the Feb 16–28/29 window — and the quote gets recorded as it stands today, so we can be graded on it later.

Planning a whole season? See the season outlook.

These are historical odds from the last 20 winters — not a forecast. Inside 16 days of a trip, a forecast is the better instrument; beyond that, counting real seasons is the honest play. Every number on this page is quoted under methodology v1.2.0, the same math we grade ourselves against in public.