Atlas · Utah · UT
Alta
11,068′ summit · 2,538′ vert · 2,614 acres · avg 547″/yr
Strong bet — Apr 1–15
Delivered 24″+ in 10 of the last 10 seasons
Over 20 winters: 16 of 20 · typical 47", most land 29"–67"
Before you book
This bet missed 0 of the last 10.
None of the last 10 came in under 8″ — a bust, under a third of the bet.
Odds count natural snowfall only. At snowmaking-dependent resorts, early-season cover can be fine in a low-natural-snow year.
The season, window by window
The bet: 12″ of new snow per week, scaled to each window. Counted from real seasons — how our odds work.
Alta · the shape of a typical winter
Typical new snow, window by window
The middle season — median new snow per window, counted from the last 20 winters. A picture of timing, not a forecast. Snow is streaky; hover any window for the usual range.
| Window | Bet | Delivered | Verdict | Typical | Biggest | Leanest |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1–15 | 24″+ | 5 of 10 · 3 busts | Coin flip | 26" | 101" 2022 | 0" 2019 |
| Nov 16–30 | 24″+ | 8 of 10 | Strong bet | 26" | 102" 2023 | 2" 2012 |
| Dec 1–15 | 24″+ | 8 of 10 | Strong bet | 33" | 85" 2022 | 7" 2011 |
| Dec 16–31 | 30″+ | 8 of 10 · 1 bust | Strong bet | 54" | 137" 2010 | 6" 2011 |
| Jan 1–15 | 24″+ | 9 of 10 | Strong bet | 38" | 217" 2023 | 6" 2010 |
| Jan 16–31 | 30″+ | 7 of 10 · 2 busts | Solid odds | 48" | 97" 2019 | 5" 2026 |
| Feb 1–15 | 24″+ | 8 of 10 · 1 bust | Strong bet | 33" | 150" 2025 | 3" 2022 |
| Feb 16–28/29 | 24″+ | 8 of 10 | Strong bet | 32" | 116" 2017 | 11" 2016 |
| Mar 1–15 | 24″+ | 8 of 10 | Strong bet | 33" | 148" 2023 | 18" 2013 |
| Mar 16–31 | 30″+ | 8 of 10 · 1 bust | Strong bet | 49" | 124" 2023 | 5" 2015 |
| Apr 1–15 | 24″+ | 10 of 10 | Strong bet | 47" | 111" 2019 | 10" 2016 |
| Apr 16–30 | 24″+ | 9 of 10 | Strong bet | 33" | 117" 2017 | 10" 2012 |
Biggest and leanest are the two ends of the same 20 winters Typical is counted from — the year is when it happened, most recent first where more than one season ties.
At the snow sensor
Reading the snow sensor…
Field notes
Skiing's holy site — some of the deepest, driest snow anywhere falling on complex, endlessly re-skiable terrain: High Rustler, the Baldy Chutes, Devil's Castle. Ski-only and tradition-heavy; this is the powder-skiing standard everything else gets measured against.
Same Little Cottonwood logistics and storm closures as Snowbird next door. Snowboards aren't allowed — mixed groups should plan around the shared canyon with Snowbird. Ikon access comes with limits; the pass fine print is worth a read.
Watch this window
We'll email you when Alta's odds move on the Apr 1–15 window — and the quote gets recorded as it stands today, so we can be graded on it later.
Planning a whole season? See the season outlook.
These are historical odds from the last 20 winters — not a forecast. Inside 16 days of a trip, a forecast is the better instrument; beyond that, counting real seasons is the honest play. Every number on this page is quoted under methodology v1.2.0, the same math we grade ourselves against in public.