Atlas · Pacific NW · WA
Crystal Mountain
7,012′ summit · 2,612′ vert · 2,600 acres · avg 486″/yr
Strong bet — Dec 16–31
Delivered 30″+ in 9 of the last 10 seasons
Over 20 winters: 17 of 20 · typical 80", most land 45"–95"
Before you book
This bet missed 1 of the last 10.
None of the last 10 came in under 10″ — a bust, under a third of the bet.
Odds count natural snowfall only. At snowmaking-dependent resorts, early-season cover can be fine in a low-natural-snow year.
The season, window by window
The bet: 12″ of new snow per week, scaled to each window. Counted from real seasons — how our odds work.
Crystal Mountain · the shape of a typical winter
Typical new snow, window by window
The middle season — median new snow per window, counted from the last 20 winters. A picture of timing, not a forecast. Snow is streaky; hover any window for the usual range.
| Window | Bet | Delivered | Verdict | Typical | Biggest | Leanest |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1–15 | 24″+ | 7 of 10 · 2 busts | Solid odds | 28" | 70" 2017 | 2" 2014 |
| Nov 16–30 | 24″+ | 8 of 10 | Strong bet | 40" | 82" 2011 | 7" 2008 |
| Dec 1–15 | 24″+ | 8 of 10 | Strong bet | 45" | 82" 2023 · 2 of 20 | 2" 2011 |
| Dec 16–31 | 30″+ | 9 of 10 | Strong bet | 80" | 128" 2024 | 19" 2009 |
| Jan 1–15 | 24″+ | 9 of 10 | Strong bet | 43" | 141" 2020 | 18" 2015 |
| Jan 16–31 | 30″+ | 5 of 10 | Coin flip | 27" | 108" 2018 | 11" 2007 |
| Feb 1–15 | 24″+ | 6 of 10 · 1 bust | Solid odds | 26" | 108" 2020 | 7" 2022 |
| Feb 16–28/29 | 24″+ | 9 of 10 | Strong bet | 39" | 87" 2025 | 8" 2008 |
| Mar 1–15 | 24″+ | 7 of 10 | Solid odds | 35" | 116" 2026 | 3" 2015 |
| Mar 16–31 | 30″+ | 4 of 10 · 1 bust | Coin flip | 34" | 71" 2012 | 10" 2019 |
| Apr 1–15 | 24″+ | 6 of 10 · 1 bust | Solid odds | 22" | 73" 2018 | 3" 2020 |
| Apr 16–30 | 24″+ | 2 of 10 · 4 busts | Long shot | 13" | 34" 2022 | 2" 2025 |
Biggest and leanest are the two ends of the same 20 winters Typical is counted from — the year is when it happened, most recent first where more than one season ties.
At the snow sensor
Reading the snow sensor…
Field notes
Washington's most complete mountain — Rainier views, the Kings' gated steeps, Southback sidecountry, and a gondola. When the maritime snowpack sets up, it skis like a compact version of the Alps.
The Ikon anchor for the Northwest. Seattle weekend crowds overwhelm the parking reservation system — go midweek or arrive at dawn. Lodging at the base is thin; Enumclaw is the town. Rain-line roulette is the honest risk.
Watch this window
We'll email you when Crystal Mountain's odds move on the Dec 16–31 window — and the quote gets recorded as it stands today, so we can be graded on it later.
Planning a whole season? See the season outlook.
These are historical odds from the last 20 winters — not a forecast. Inside 16 days of a trip, a forecast is the better instrument; beyond that, counting real seasons is the honest play. Every number on this page is quoted under methodology v1.2.0, the same math we grade ourselves against in public.