Atlas · Pacific NW · WA
Stevens Pass
5,845′ summit · 1,784′ vert · 1,125 acres · avg 460″/yr
Strong bet — Dec 16–31
Delivered 30″+ in 9 of the last 10 seasons
Over 20 winters: 17 of 20 · typical 62", most land 49"–81"
Before you book
This bet missed 1 of the last 10.
None of the last 10 came in under 10″ — a bust, under a third of the bet.
Odds count natural snowfall only. At snowmaking-dependent resorts, early-season cover can be fine in a low-natural-snow year.
The season, window by window
The bet: 12″ of new snow per week, scaled to each window. Counted from real seasons — how our odds work.
Stevens Pass · the shape of a typical winter
Typical new snow, window by window
The middle season — median new snow per window, counted from the last 20 winters. A picture of timing, not a forecast. Snow is streaky; hover any window for the usual range.
| Window | Bet | Delivered | Verdict | Typical | Biggest | Leanest |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1–15 | 24″+ | 7 of 10 · 2 busts | Solid odds | 32" | 65" 2006 | 4" 2019 |
| Nov 16–30 | 24″+ | 6 of 10 | Solid odds | 41" | 69" 2011 | 13" 2023 |
| Dec 1–15 | 24″+ | 6 of 10 | Solid odds | 38" | 93" 2015 | 2" 2011 |
| Dec 16–31 | 30″+ | 9 of 10 | Strong bet | 62" | 99" 2017 | 19" 2023 |
| Jan 1–15 | 24″+ | 9 of 10 | Strong bet | 54" | 140" 2020 | 15" 2017 |
| Jan 16–31 | 30″+ | 5 of 10 | Coin flip | 28" | 100" 2012 | 12" 2009 |
| Feb 1–15 | 24″+ | 6 of 10 | Solid odds | 32" | 109" 2020 | 7" 2009 |
| Feb 16–28/29 | 24″+ | 8 of 10 | Strong bet | 39" | 102" 2021 | 5" 2008 |
| Mar 1–15 | 24″+ | 8 of 10 · 1 bust | Strong bet | 30" | 94" 2026 | 7" 2021 |
| Mar 16–31 | 30″+ | 4 of 10 · 1 bust | Coin flip | 35" | 68" 2017 | 7" 2019 |
| Apr 1–15 | 24″+ | 5 of 10 · 1 bust | Coin flip | 22" | 71" 2018 | 6" 2020 |
| Apr 16–30 | 24″+ | 2 of 10 · 2 busts | Long shot | 16" | 33" 2017 | 1" 2016 |
Biggest and leanest are the two ends of the same 20 winters Typical is counted from — the year is when it happened, most recent first where more than one season ties.
At the snow sensor
Reading the snow sensor…
Field notes
Highway 2's storm funnel — dense old-growth glades (the Mill Valley trees are elite), pockets of real steep, and a night-skiing operation that laps powder into the evening. Compact and very tolerant of wet snow.
Epic Pass. There's no lodging at the pass — Leavenworth's Bavarian kitsch, half an hour east, is the fun base. The road on a powder Saturday is misery; ski it midweek. Snow quality can swing from blower to concrete within a single storm.
Watch this window
We'll email you when Stevens Pass's odds move on the Dec 16–31 window — and the quote gets recorded as it stands today, so we can be graded on it later.
Planning a whole season? See the season outlook.
These are historical odds from the last 20 winters — not a forecast. Inside 16 days of a trip, a forecast is the better instrument; beyond that, counting real seasons is the honest play. Every number on this page is quoted under methodology v1.2.0, the same math we grade ourselves against in public.