Atlas · Colorado · CO
Winter Park
12,060′ summit · 3,060′ vert · 3,081 acres · avg 326″/yr
Strong bet — Apr 16–30
Delivered 24″+ in 10 of the last 10 seasons
Over 20 winters: 17 of 20 · typical 43", most land 33"–52"
Before you book
This bet missed 0 of the last 10.
None of the last 10 came in under 8″ — a bust, under a third of the bet.
Odds count natural snowfall only. At snowmaking-dependent resorts, early-season cover can be fine in a low-natural-snow year.
The season, window by window
The bet: 12″ of new snow per week, scaled to each window. Counted from real seasons — how our odds work.
Winter Park · the shape of a typical winter
Typical new snow, window by window
The middle season — median new snow per window, counted from the last 20 winters. A picture of timing, not a forecast. Snow is streaky; hover any window for the usual range.
| Window | Bet | Delivered | Verdict | Typical | Biggest | Leanest |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1–15 | 24″+ | 5 of 10 · 4 busts | Coin flip | 16" | 48" 2024 | 0" 2016 |
| Nov 16–30 | 24″+ | 5 of 10 | Coin flip | 18" | 43" 2024 | 0" 2012 |
| Dec 1–15 | 24″+ | 5 of 10 · 1 bust | Coin flip | 22" | 47" 2019 | 5" 2006 |
| Dec 16–31 | 30″+ | 5 of 10 | Coin flip | 24" | 58" 2021 | 11" 2023 |
| Jan 1–15 | 24″+ | 6 of 10 | Solid odds | 20" | 78" 2024 | 3" 2013 |
| Jan 16–31 | 30″+ | 2 of 10 | Long shot | 21" | 45" 2019 | 9" 2010 |
| Feb 1–15 | 24″+ | 7 of 10 | Solid odds | 27" | 70" 2020 | 10" 2009 |
| Feb 16–28/29 | 24″+ | 7 of 10 | Solid odds | 26" | 48" 2025 | 11" 2018 |
| Mar 1–15 | 24″+ | 6 of 10 | Solid odds | 21" | 92" 2019 | 7" 2012 |
| Mar 16–31 | 30″+ | 8 of 10 · 1 bust | Strong bet | 35" | 58" 2016 | 2" 2012 |
| Apr 1–15 | 24″+ | 8 of 10 | Strong bet | 28" | 73" 2018 | 11" 2016 |
| Apr 16–30 | 24″+ | 10 of 10 | Strong bet | 43" | 92" 2024 | 9" 2012 |
Biggest and leanest are the two ends of the same 20 winters Typical is counted from — the year is when it happened, most recent first where more than one season ties.
At the snow sensor
Reading the snow sensor…
Field notes
Two mountains in one: Winter Park's friendly groomers and Mary Jane's famous bump-and-tree terrain — some of the most sustained fall-line mogul skiing anywhere. Vasquez Cirque adds hike-to alpine when it's open.
Denver's train-accessible hill — the Winter Park Express from Union Station is genuinely fun — which also means weekend crowds. The Jane trees hold powder for days. Base lodging keeps improving, but the town five minutes away is better value.
Watch this window
We'll email you when Winter Park's odds move on the Apr 16–30 window — and the quote gets recorded as it stands today, so we can be graded on it later.
Planning a whole season? See the season outlook.
These are historical odds from the last 20 winters — not a forecast. Inside 16 days of a trip, a forecast is the better instrument; beyond that, counting real seasons is the honest play. Every number on this page is quoted under methodology v1.2.0, the same math we grade ourselves against in public.