Atlas · Pacific NW · WA
White Pass
6,550′ summit · 2,050′ vert · 1,402 acres · avg 400″/yr
Strong bet — Dec 16–31
Delivered 30″+ in 9 of the last 10 seasons
Over 20 winters: 17 of 20 · typical 57", most land 41"–71"
Before you book
This bet missed 1 of the last 10.
None of the last 10 came in under 10″ — a bust, under a third of the bet.
Odds count natural snowfall only. At snowmaking-dependent resorts, early-season cover can be fine in a low-natural-snow year.
The season, window by window
The bet: 12″ of new snow per week, scaled to each window. Counted from real seasons — how our odds work.
White Pass · the shape of a typical winter
Typical new snow, window by window
The middle season — median new snow per window, counted from the last 20 winters. A picture of timing, not a forecast. Snow is streaky; hover any window for the usual range.
| Window | Bet | Delivered | Verdict | Typical | Biggest | Leanest |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1–15 | 24″+ | 6 of 10 · 3 busts | Solid odds | 23" | 63" 2020 | 0" 2019 |
| Nov 16–30 | 24″+ | 7 of 10 | Solid odds | 34" | 69" 2011 | 8" 2008 |
| Dec 1–15 | 24″+ | 8 of 10 | Strong bet | 31" | 70" 2015 | 2" 2011 |
| Dec 16–31 | 30″+ | 9 of 10 | Strong bet | 57" | 89" 2024 | 13" 2023 |
| Jan 1–15 | 24″+ | 9 of 10 | Strong bet | 36" | 124" 2020 | 16" 2012 |
| Jan 16–31 | 30″+ | 4 of 10 · 1 bust | Coin flip | 24" | 83" 2012 | 8" 2007 |
| Feb 1–15 | 24″+ | 6 of 10 | Solid odds | 23" | 102" 2020 | 8" 2009 |
| Feb 16–28/29 | 24″+ | 8 of 10 | Strong bet | 35" | 78" 2021 | 8" 2008 |
| Mar 1–15 | 24″+ | 6 of 10 · 1 bust | Solid odds | 29" | 100" 2026 | 6" 2015 |
| Mar 16–31 | 30″+ | 4 of 10 · 2 busts | Coin flip | 31" | 61" 2012 | 6" 2019 |
| Apr 1–15 | 24″+ | 5 of 10 · 1 bust | Coin flip | 20" | 57" 2022 | 2" 2020 |
| Apr 16–30 | 24″+ | 1 of 10 · 5 busts | Long shot | 14" | 34" 2014 | 3" 2025 |
Biggest and leanest are the two ends of the same 20 winters Typical is counted from — the year is when it happened, most recent first where more than one season ties.
At the snow sensor
Reading the snow sensor…
Field notes
The quiet one southeast of Rainier — uncrowded groomers, Paradise Basin's trees and bowls, and a maritime-continental blend that skis drier than the west-side hills. Local families, zero scene.
Packwood is the modest base town. Its value on a trip is as the crowd-dodge alternative when Crystal's lot fills — same storm, half the people, an hour apart.
Watch this window
We'll email you when White Pass's odds move on the Dec 16–31 window — and the quote gets recorded as it stands today, so we can be graded on it later.
Planning a whole season? See the season outlook.
These are historical odds from the last 20 winters — not a forecast. Inside 16 days of a trip, a forecast is the better instrument; beyond that, counting real seasons is the honest play. Every number on this page is quoted under methodology v1.2.0, the same math we grade ourselves against in public.