Atlas · Utah · UT
Sundance
8,250′ summit · 2,150′ vert · 450 acres · avg 320″/yr
Strong bet — Mar 1–15
Delivered 24″+ in 8 of the last 10 seasons
Over 20 winters: 11 of 20 · typical 25", most land 17"–38"
Before you book
This bet missed 2 of the last 10.
1 of the last 10 came in under 8″ — a bust, under a third of the bet.
Odds count natural snowfall only. At snowmaking-dependent resorts, early-season cover can be fine in a low-natural-snow year.
The season, window by window
The bet: 12″ of new snow per week, scaled to each window. Counted from real seasons — how our odds work.
Sundance · the shape of a typical winter
Typical new snow, window by window
The middle season — median new snow per window, counted from the last 20 winters. A picture of timing, not a forecast. Snow is streaky; hover any window for the usual range.
| Window | Bet | Delivered | Verdict | Typical | Biggest | Leanest |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1–15 | 24″+ | 2 of 10 · 5 busts | Long shot | 13" | 51" 2022 | 0" 2019 |
| Nov 16–30 | 24″+ | 5 of 10 · 3 busts | Coin flip | 18" | 59" 2018 | 2" 2012 |
| Dec 1–15 | 24″+ | 5 of 10 · 2 busts | Coin flip | 23" | 53" 2019 | 5" 2011 |
| Dec 16–31 | 30″+ | 5 of 10 · 1 bust | Coin flip | 37" | 114" 2021 | 2" 2023 |
| Jan 1–15 | 24″+ | 7 of 10 · 1 bust | Solid odds | 22" | 126" 2023 | 5" 2011 |
| Jan 16–31 | 30″+ | 5 of 10 · 3 busts | Coin flip | 29" | 56" 2012 | 2" 2022 |
| Feb 1–15 | 24″+ | 6 of 10 · 3 busts | Solid odds | 21" | 98" 2017 | 1" 2022 |
| Feb 16–28/29 | 24″+ | 4 of 10 | Coin flip | 19" | 69" 2023 | 10" 2020 |
| Mar 1–15 | 24″+ | 8 of 10 · 1 bust | Strong bet | 25" | 76" 2019 | 7" 2017 |
| Mar 16–31 | 30″+ | 5 of 10 · 1 bust | Coin flip | 23" | 76" 2023 | 0" 2026 |
| Apr 1–15 | 24″+ | 3 of 10 | Long shot | 20" | 50" 2011 | 7" 2016 |
| Apr 16–30 | 24″+ | 4 of 10 · 1 bust | Coin flip | 18" | 38" 2011 | 5" 2020 |
Biggest and leanest are the two ends of the same 20 winters Typical is counted from — the year is when it happened, most recent first where more than one season ties.
At the snow sensor
Reading the snow sensor…
Field notes
Robert Redford's aesthetic project under Mount Timpanogos — small, pretty, and steeper than it looks off Bishop's Bowl. More a mood than a destination.
A Power Pass partner mountain and an easy add-on to any Salt Lake trip — about an hour from the airport. Uncrowded midweek; the tiny lot fills on weekends.
Watch this window
We'll email you when Sundance's odds move on the Mar 1–15 window — and the quote gets recorded as it stands today, so we can be graded on it later.
Planning a whole season? See the season outlook.
These are historical odds from the last 20 winters — not a forecast. Inside 16 days of a trip, a forecast is the better instrument; beyond that, counting real seasons is the honest play. Every number on this page is quoted under methodology v1.2.0, the same math we grade ourselves against in public.