Powder Compass

Atlas · Northeast · VT

Stratton

3,875′ summit · 2,003′ vert · 670 acres · avg 180″/yr

Solid odds — Jan 16–31

Delivered 30″+ in 7 of the last 10 seasons

Over 20 winters: 8 of 20 · typical 21", most land 12"–33"

Before you book

This bet missed 3 of the last 10.

1 of the last 10 came in under 10″ — a bust, under a third of the bet.

Odds count natural snowfall only. At snowmaking-dependent resorts, early-season cover can be fine in a low-natural-snow year.

The season, window by window

The bet: 12″ of new snow per week, scaled to each window. Counted from real seasons — how our odds work.

Stratton · the shape of a typical winter

Typical new snow, window by window

The middle season — median new snow per window, counted from the last 20 winters. A picture of timing, not a forecast. Snow is streaky; hover any window for the usual range.

0 15 30 45" NovDecJanFebMarApr
Window Bet Delivered Verdict Typical Biggest Leanest
Nov 1–15 24″+ 0 of 10 · 7 busts Long shot 3" 17" 2018 0" 2024 · 2 of 20
Nov 16–30 24″+ 2 of 10 · 2 busts Long shot 11" 52" 2018 0" 2015
Dec 1–15 24″+ 1 of 10 · 2 busts Long shot 15" 44" 2014 1" 2015
Dec 16–31 30″+ 2 of 10 · 2 busts Long shot 15" 47" 2022 2" 2023
Jan 1–15 24″+ 1 of 10 · 1 bust Long shot 12" 41" 2024 1" 2013
Jan 16–31 30″+ 7 of 10 · 1 bust Solid odds 21" 37" 2023 4" 2007
Feb 1–15 24″+ 4 of 10 · 2 busts Coin flip 23" 47" 2014 1" 2012
Feb 16–28/29 24″+ 1 of 10 · 2 busts Long shot 18" 61" 2010 6" 2024
Mar 1–15 24″+ 3 of 10 · 3 busts Long shot 15" 77" 2023 2" 2016
Mar 16–31 30″+ 1 of 10 · 5 busts Long shot 11" 48" 2024 1" 2018
Apr 1–15 24″+ 1 of 10 · 5 busts Long shot 6" 52" 2007 0" 2010
Apr 16–30 24″+ 1 of 10 · 6 busts Long shot 2" 25" 2020 0" 2017 · 4 of 20

Biggest and leanest are the two ends of the same 20 winters Typical is counted from — the year is when it happened, most recent first where more than one season ties.

At the snow sensor

Reading the snow sensor…

Field notes

Southern Vermont's groomed corporate cruiser — a birthplace of competitive snowboarding from Burton's early days, consistent fall lines, and heavy snowmaking. Pleasant, predictable, crowded.

Ikon. New York weekend crowds define it — the four-hour-metro effect. Midweek it's genuinely pleasant, and the Burton history gives it snowboard-culture weight beyond its terrain.

Watch this window

We'll email you when Stratton's odds move on the Jan 16–31 window — and the quote gets recorded as it stands today, so we can be graded on it later.

Planning a whole season? See the season outlook.

These are historical odds from the last 20 winters — not a forecast. Inside 16 days of a trip, a forecast is the better instrument; beyond that, counting real seasons is the honest play. Every number on this page is quoted under methodology v1.2.0, the same math we grade ourselves against in public.