Atlas · Southwest · NM
Ski Apache
11,500′ summit · 1,900′ vert · 750 acres · avg 54″/yr
Long shot — Feb 1–15
Delivered 24″+ in 2 of the last 10 seasons
Over 20 winters: 2 of 20 · typical 6", most land 1"–10"
Before you book
This bet missed 8 of the last 10.
4 of the last 10 came in under 8″ — a bust, under a third of the bet.
Odds count natural snowfall only. At snowmaking-dependent resorts, early-season cover can be fine in a low-natural-snow year.
The season, window by window
The bet: 12″ of new snow per week, scaled to each window. Counted from real seasons — how our odds work.
Ski Apache · the shape of a typical winter
Typical new snow, window by window
The middle season — median new snow per window, counted from the last 20 winters. A picture of timing, not a forecast. Snow is streaky; hover any window for the usual range.
| Window | Bet | Delivered | Verdict | Typical | Biggest | Leanest |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1–15 | 24″+ | 0 of 10 · 9 busts | Long shot | 0" | 20" 2024 | 0" 2025 · 15 of 20 |
| Nov 16–30 | 24″+ | 0 of 10 · 7 busts | Long shot | 2" | 21" 2019 | 0" 2017 · 3 of 20 |
| Dec 1–15 | 24″+ | 0 of 10 · 10 busts | Long shot | 3" | 11" 2009 | 0" 2010 · 2 of 20 |
| Dec 16–31 | 30″+ | 0 of 10 · 7 busts | Long shot | 5" | 22" 2018 | 0" 2025 |
| Jan 1–15 | 24″+ | 0 of 10 · 4 busts | Long shot | 5" | 21" 2017 | 0" 2014 · 2 of 20 |
| Jan 16–31 | 30″+ | 0 of 10 · 4 busts | Long shot | 5" | 27" 2026 | 0" 2014 · 2 of 20 |
| Feb 1–15 | 24″+ | 2 of 10 · 4 busts | Long shot | 6" | 25" 2024 | 1" 2026 · 2 of 20 |
| Feb 16–28/29 | 24″+ | 0 of 10 · 7 busts | Long shot | 3" | 17" 2018 | 0" 2009 |
| Mar 1–15 | 24″+ | 0 of 10 · 7 busts | Long shot | 3" | 13" 2019 | 0" 2017 · 2 of 20 |
| Mar 16–31 | 30″+ | 0 of 10 · 7 busts | Long shot | 2" | 17" 2022 | 0" 2026 · 6 of 20 |
| Apr 1–15 | 24″+ | 0 of 10 · 9 busts | Long shot | 1" | 10" 2024 | 0" 2021 · 8 of 20 |
| Apr 16–30 | 24″+ | 0 of 10 · 9 busts | Long shot | 0" | 16" 2021 | 0" 2026 · 11 of 20 |
Biggest and leanest are the two ends of the same 20 winters Typical is counted from — the year is when it happened, most recent first where more than one season ties.
At the snow sensor
Reading the snow sensor…
Field notes
A southern-latitude gondola resort on the flank of Sierra Blanca, with surprisingly legit steeps off the top and long intermediate flow below. Snowfall is the honest constraint here — the odds tables below tell that story plainly — but elevation keeps what does fall skiable.
Wind holds on the gondola are common. Texas school-holiday weeks bring the only real crowds; otherwise it's quiet, and Ruidoso makes a comfortable base town.
Watch this window
We'll email you when Ski Apache's odds move on the Feb 1–15 window — and the quote gets recorded as it stands today, so we can be graded on it later.
Planning a whole season? See the season outlook.
These are historical odds from the last 20 winters — not a forecast. Inside 16 days of a trip, a forecast is the better instrument; beyond that, counting real seasons is the honest play. Every number on this page is quoted under methodology v1.2.0, the same math we grade ourselves against in public.