Atlas · Alberta · AB
Banff Norquay
8,040′ summit · 1,650′ vert · 190 acres · avg 120″/yr
Long shot — Apr 1–15
Delivered 24″+ in 0 of the last 10 seasons
Over 20 winters: 3 of 20 · typical 13", most land 8"–16"
Before you book
This bet missed 10 of the last 10.
2 of the last 10 came in under 8″ — a bust, under a third of the bet.
Odds count natural snowfall only. At snowmaking-dependent resorts, early-season cover can be fine in a low-natural-snow year.
The season, window by window
The bet: 12″ of new snow per week, scaled to each window. Counted from real seasons — how our odds work.
Banff Norquay · the shape of a typical winter
Typical new snow, window by window
The middle season — median new snow per window, counted from the last 20 winters. A picture of timing, not a forecast. Snow is streaky; hover any window for the usual range.
| Window | Bet | Delivered | Verdict | Typical | Biggest | Leanest |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1–15 | 24″+ | 0 of 10 · 2 busts | Long shot | 11" | 23" 2021 | 5" 2024 |
| Nov 16–30 | 24″+ | 0 of 10 · 3 busts | Long shot | 12" | 21" 2015 | 2" 2018 |
| Dec 1–15 | 24″+ | 0 of 10 · 6 busts | Long shot | 7" | 24" 2008 | 1" 2017 |
| Dec 16–31 | 30″+ | 0 of 10 · 3 busts | Long shot | 8" | 23" 2019 | 3" 2010 |
| Jan 1–15 | 24″+ | 0 of 10 · 7 busts | Long shot | 8" | 21" 2014 | 1" 2023 |
| Jan 16–31 | 30″+ | 0 of 10 · 10 busts | Long shot | 4" | 13" 2011 | 1" 2025 |
| Feb 1–15 | 24″+ | 0 of 10 · 4 busts | Long shot | 8" | 19" 2018 | 1" 2026 |
| Feb 16–28/29 | 24″+ | 0 of 10 · 6 busts | Long shot | 7" | 18" 2024 | 2" 2010 |
| Mar 1–15 | 24″+ | 0 of 10 · 4 busts | Long shot | 12" | 27" 2012 | 3" 2021 |
| Mar 16–31 | 30″+ | 0 of 10 · 6 busts | Long shot | 10" | 22" 2014 | 4" 2019 |
| Apr 1–15 | 24″+ | 0 of 10 · 2 busts | Long shot | 13" | 33" 2012 | 3" 2016 |
| Apr 16–30 | 24″+ | 0 of 10 · 4 busts | Long shot | 11" | 28" 2010 | 4" 2020 |
Biggest and leanest are the two ends of the same 20 winters Typical is counted from — the year is when it happened, most recent first where more than one season ties.
At the snow sensor
Reading the snow sensor…
Field notes
Banff's town hill — small, steep in spots (the North American chair's bump runs are stout), with hourly tickets and night skiing. A half-day mountain with a big view.
Ten minutes from Banff town — the arrival-day or storm-recovery option on a SkiBig3 trip. Never crowded, and the tubing park handles the family hours.
Watch this window
We'll email you when Banff Norquay's odds move on the Apr 1–15 window — and the quote gets recorded as it stands today, so we can be graded on it later.
Planning a whole season? See the season outlook.
These are historical odds from the last 20 winters — not a forecast. Inside 16 days of a trip, a forecast is the better instrument; beyond that, counting real seasons is the honest play. Every number on this page is quoted under methodology v1.2.0, the same math we grade ourselves against in public.