Atlas · Northeast · VT
Mount Snow
3,600′ summit · 1,700′ vert · 588 acres · avg 150″/yr
Coin flip — Jan 16–31
Delivered 30″+ in 4 of the last 10 seasons
Over 20 winters: 4 of 20 · typical 18", most land 9"–30"
Before you book
This bet missed 6 of the last 10.
1 of the last 10 came in under 10″ — a bust, under a third of the bet.
Odds count natural snowfall only. At snowmaking-dependent resorts, early-season cover can be fine in a low-natural-snow year.
The season, window by window
The bet: 12″ of new snow per week, scaled to each window. Counted from real seasons — how our odds work.
Mount Snow · the shape of a typical winter
Typical new snow, window by window
The middle season — median new snow per window, counted from the last 20 winters. A picture of timing, not a forecast. Snow is streaky; hover any window for the usual range.
| Window | Bet | Delivered | Verdict | Typical | Biggest | Leanest |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1–15 | 24″+ | 0 of 10 · 9 busts | Long shot | 2" | 13" 2018 | 0" 2024 · 2 of 20 |
| Nov 16–30 | 24″+ | 2 of 10 · 3 busts | Long shot | 8" | 46" 2018 | 0" 2015 |
| Dec 1–15 | 24″+ | 1 of 10 · 2 busts | Long shot | 13" | 35" 2014 | 0" 2015 |
| Dec 16–31 | 30″+ | 1 of 10 · 3 busts | Long shot | 13" | 46" 2022 | 1" 2023 |
| Jan 1–15 | 24″+ | 1 of 10 · 3 busts | Long shot | 10" | 37" 2024 | 1" 2013 |
| Jan 16–31 | 30″+ | 4 of 10 · 1 bust | Coin flip | 18" | 35" 2023 | 3" 2007 |
| Feb 1–15 | 24″+ | 3 of 10 · 3 busts | Long shot | 20" | 38" 2014 | 1" 2012 |
| Feb 16–28/29 | 24″+ | 0 of 10 · 2 busts | Long shot | 16" | 49" 2010 | 5" 2015 |
| Mar 1–15 | 24″+ | 3 of 10 · 3 busts | Long shot | 12" | 65" 2023 | 1" 2016 |
| Mar 16–31 | 30″+ | 1 of 10 · 5 busts | Long shot | 9" | 36" 2024 | 1" 2009 |
| Apr 1–15 | 24″+ | 1 of 10 · 5 busts | Long shot | 5" | 41" 2007 | 0" 2010 |
| Apr 16–30 | 24″+ | 0 of 10 · 6 busts | Long shot | 2" | 23" 2020 | 0" 2017 · 4 of 20 |
Biggest and leanest are the two ends of the same 20 winters Typical is counted from — the year is when it happened, most recent first where more than one season ties.
At the snow sensor
Reading the snow sensor…
Field notes
Southern Vermont's snowmaking machine, with the East's premier park scene — Carinthia is a full peak of parks. Natural terrain is modest; the park investment is the real draw.
Epic. The closest real Vermont hill to the New York and Hartford corridor, hence the weekend crush. Carinthia is the reason a park-focused rider detours here.
Watch this window
We'll email you when Mount Snow's odds move on the Jan 16–31 window — and the quote gets recorded as it stands today, so we can be graded on it later.
Planning a whole season? See the season outlook.
These are historical odds from the last 20 winters — not a forecast. Inside 16 days of a trip, a forecast is the better instrument; beyond that, counting real seasons is the honest play. Every number on this page is quoted under methodology v1.2.0, the same math we grade ourselves against in public.