Atlas · British Columbia · BC
Kimberley
6,500′ summit · 2,465′ vert · 1,800 acres · avg 160″/yr
Long shot — Dec 16–31
Delivered 30″+ in 3 of the last 10 seasons
Over 20 winters: 3 of 20 · typical 16", most land 11"–28"
Before you book
This bet missed 7 of the last 10.
1 of the last 10 came in under 10″ — a bust, under a third of the bet.
Odds count natural snowfall only. At snowmaking-dependent resorts, early-season cover can be fine in a low-natural-snow year.
The season, window by window
The bet: 12″ of new snow per week, scaled to each window. Counted from real seasons — how our odds work.
Kimberley · the shape of a typical winter
Typical new snow, window by window
The middle season — median new snow per window, counted from the last 20 winters. A picture of timing, not a forecast. Snow is streaky; hover any window for the usual range.
| Window | Bet | Delivered | Verdict | Typical | Biggest | Leanest |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1–15 | 24″+ | 1 of 10 · 2 busts | Long shot | 12" | 29" 2017 | 5" 2012 |
| Nov 16–30 | 24″+ | 1 of 10 · 2 busts | Long shot | 14" | 32" 2011 | 1" 2008 |
| Dec 1–15 | 24″+ | 1 of 10 · 4 busts | Long shot | 13" | 37" 2025 | 3" 2017 |
| Dec 16–31 | 30″+ | 3 of 10 · 1 bust | Long shot | 16" | 35" 2017 | 3" 2023 |
| Jan 1–15 | 24″+ | 2 of 10 · 3 busts | Long shot | 14" | 28" 2020 | 4" 2023 |
| Jan 16–31 | 30″+ | 0 of 10 · 7 busts | Long shot | 7" | 26" 2018 | 2" 2009 |
| Feb 1–15 | 24″+ | 2 of 10 · 2 busts | Long shot | 10" | 37" 2017 | 2" 2013 · 2 of 20 |
| Feb 16–28/29 | 24″+ | 0 of 10 | Long shot | 11" | 23" 2012 | 1" 2010 |
| Mar 1–15 | 24″+ | 2 of 10 · 1 bust | Long shot | 13" | 27" 2017 | 2" 2021 |
| Mar 16–31 | 30″+ | 0 of 10 · 3 busts | Long shot | 13" | 31" 2012 | 3" 2019 |
| Apr 1–15 | 24″+ | 1 of 10 · 1 bust | Long shot | 11" | 27" 2018 | 1" 2016 |
| Apr 16–30 | 24″+ | 0 of 10 · 3 busts | Long shot | 9" | 24" 2021 | 1" 2015 |
Biggest and leanest are the two ends of the same 20 winters Typical is counted from — the year is when it happened, most recent first where more than one season ties.
At the snow sensor
Reading the snow sensor…
Field notes
Fernie's mellow sibling — sunny, gladed, modest-pitched cruising above a Bavarian-themed town. A rest-day mountain on a Powder Highway itinerary.
Cranbrook's airport is conveniently close. Uncrowded always. Shared ownership pairs it with Fernie; think of it as the storm-recovery day.
Watch this window
We'll email you when Kimberley's odds move on the Dec 16–31 window — and the quote gets recorded as it stands today, so we can be graded on it later.
Planning a whole season? See the season outlook.
These are historical odds from the last 20 winters — not a forecast. Inside 16 days of a trip, a forecast is the better instrument; beyond that, counting real seasons is the honest play. Every number on this page is quoted under methodology v1.2.0, the same math we grade ourselves against in public.