Atlas · Northeast · VT
Killington
4,241′ summit · 3,050′ vert · 1,509 acres · avg 250″/yr
Solid odds — Feb 1–15
Delivered 24″+ in 7 of the last 10 seasons
Over 20 winters: 13 of 20 · typical 32", most land 11"–47"
Before you book
This bet missed 3 of the last 10.
None of the last 10 came in under 8″ — a bust, under a third of the bet.
Odds count natural snowfall only. At snowmaking-dependent resorts, early-season cover can be fine in a low-natural-snow year.
The season, window by window
The bet: 12″ of new snow per week, scaled to each window. Counted from real seasons — how our odds work.
Killington · the shape of a typical winter
Typical new snow, window by window
The middle season — median new snow per window, counted from the last 20 winters. A picture of timing, not a forecast. Snow is streaky; hover any window for the usual range.
| Window | Bet | Delivered | Verdict | Typical | Biggest | Leanest |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1–15 | 24″+ | 1 of 10 · 5 busts | Long shot | 4" | 32" 2018 | 0" 2016 · 2 of 20 |
| Nov 16–30 | 24″+ | 4 of 10 · 1 bust | Coin flip | 15" | 64" 2018 | 0" 2015 · 2 of 20 |
| Dec 1–15 | 24″+ | 6 of 10 · 1 bust | Solid odds | 25" | 70" 2014 | 1" 2015 |
| Dec 16–31 | 30″+ | 3 of 10 · 1 bust | Long shot | 21" | 61" 2022 | 4" 2023 |
| Jan 1–15 | 24″+ | 3 of 10 | Long shot | 18" | 62" 2024 | 3" 2013 |
| Jan 16–31 | 30″+ | 7 of 10 · 1 bust | Solid odds | 26" | 53" 2021 | 6" 2007 |
| Feb 1–15 | 24″+ | 7 of 10 | Solid odds | 32" | 76" 2008 | 1" 2012 |
| Feb 16–28/29 | 24″+ | 4 of 10 | Coin flip | 23" | 82" 2010 | 7" 2007 |
| Mar 1–15 | 24″+ | 5 of 10 · 3 busts | Coin flip | 24" | 73" 2018 | 4" 2020 |
| Mar 16–31 | 30″+ | 1 of 10 · 4 busts | Long shot | 15" | 63" 2024 | 1" 2021 |
| Apr 1–15 | 24″+ | 2 of 10 · 2 busts | Long shot | 9" | 76" 2007 | 0" 2010 |
| Apr 16–30 | 24″+ | 3 of 10 · 6 busts | Long shot | 5" | 33" 2021 | 0" 2017 · 3 of 20 |
Biggest and leanest are the two ends of the same 20 winters Typical is counted from — the year is when it happened, most recent first where more than one season ties.
At the snow sensor
Reading the snow sensor…
Field notes
The Beast of the East — six peaks, the longest season in the East, Outer Limits' famous bumps, and enough terrain variety to absorb its scene. Icy, loud, and undeniably fun.
The East's most reliable early- and late-season turns, running from fall into late spring most years. The Access Road nightlife is its own institution. Weekends are a coliseum; ski midweek.
Watch this window
We'll email you when Killington's odds move on the Feb 1–15 window — and the quote gets recorded as it stands today, so we can be graded on it later.
Planning a whole season? See the season outlook.
These are historical odds from the last 20 winters — not a forecast. Inside 16 days of a trip, a forecast is the better instrument; beyond that, counting real seasons is the honest play. Every number on this page is quoted under methodology v1.2.0, the same math we grade ourselves against in public.