Atlas · Utah · UT
Deer Valley
9,570′ summit · 3,000′ vert · 2,026 acres · avg 300″/yr
Solid odds — Mar 16–31
Delivered 30″+ in 7 of the last 10 seasons
Over 20 winters: 10 of 20 · typical 28", most land 14"–37"
Before you book
This bet missed 3 of the last 10.
1 of the last 10 came in under 10″ — a bust, under a third of the bet.
Odds count natural snowfall only. At snowmaking-dependent resorts, early-season cover can be fine in a low-natural-snow year.
The season, window by window
The bet: 12″ of new snow per week, scaled to each window. Counted from real seasons — how our odds work.
Deer Valley · the shape of a typical winter
Typical new snow, window by window
The middle season — median new snow per window, counted from the last 20 winters. A picture of timing, not a forecast. Snow is streaky; hover any window for the usual range.
| Window | Bet | Delivered | Verdict | Typical | Biggest | Leanest |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1–15 | 24″+ | 2 of 10 · 5 busts | Long shot | 17" | 51" 2022 | 0" 2019 |
| Nov 16–30 | 24″+ | 5 of 10 · 2 busts | Coin flip | 17" | 51" 2023 | 1" 2012 |
| Dec 1–15 | 24″+ | 5 of 10 · 1 bust | Coin flip | 19" | 43" 2022 | 4" 2011 |
| Dec 16–31 | 30″+ | 4 of 10 · 1 bust | Coin flip | 30" | 79" 2010 | 5" 2023 |
| Jan 1–15 | 24″+ | 7 of 10 · 1 bust | Solid odds | 21" | 109" 2023 | 4" 2011 |
| Jan 16–31 | 30″+ | 3 of 10 · 2 busts | Long shot | 27" | 49" 2019 | 3" 2026 |
| Feb 1–15 | 24″+ | 6 of 10 · 1 bust | Solid odds | 18" | 75" 2025 | 1" 2022 |
| Feb 16–28/29 | 24″+ | 6 of 10 | Solid odds | 18" | 58" 2017 | 8" 2016 |
| Mar 1–15 | 24″+ | 7 of 10 | Solid odds | 22" | 74" 2023 | 10" 2017 |
| Mar 16–31 | 30″+ | 7 of 10 · 1 bust | Solid odds | 28" | 62" 2023 | 4" 2026 |
| Apr 1–15 | 24″+ | 7 of 10 | Solid odds | 23" | 56" 2019 | 7" 2016 |
| Apr 16–30 | 24″+ | 7 of 10 | Solid odds | 21" | 58" 2017 | 7" 2012 |
Biggest and leanest are the two ends of the same 20 winters Typical is counted from — the year is when it happened, most recent first where more than one season ties.
At the snow sensor
Reading the snow sensor…
Field notes
Ski-only, service-obsessed, and immaculately groomed — but don't dismiss it: the Empire and Lady Morgan bowls hide legitimate steeps and glades that the clientele largely ignores.
Snowboards aren't allowed — plan accordingly for a mixed group. Daily ticket caps keep it uncrowded, and lunch is the best in Utah.
Watch this window
We'll email you when Deer Valley's odds move on the Mar 16–31 window — and the quote gets recorded as it stands today, so we can be graded on it later.
Planning a whole season? See the season outlook.
These are historical odds from the last 20 winters — not a forecast. Inside 16 days of a trip, a forecast is the better instrument; beyond that, counting real seasons is the honest play. Every number on this page is quoted under methodology v1.2.0, the same math we grade ourselves against in public.