Atlas · Northern Rockies · ID
Brundage
7,640′ summit · 1,800′ vert · 1,920 acres · avg 320″/yr
Strong bet — Feb 16–28/29
Delivered 24″+ in 8 of the last 10 seasons
Over 20 winters: 12 of 20 · typical 32", most land 14"–40"
Before you book
This bet missed 2 of the last 10.
None of the last 10 came in under 8″ — a bust, under a third of the bet.
Odds count natural snowfall only. At snowmaking-dependent resorts, early-season cover can be fine in a low-natural-snow year.
The season, window by window
The bet: 12″ of new snow per week, scaled to each window. Counted from real seasons — how our odds work.
Brundage · the shape of a typical winter
Typical new snow, window by window
The middle season — median new snow per window, counted from the last 20 winters. A picture of timing, not a forecast. Snow is streaky; hover any window for the usual range.
| Window | Bet | Delivered | Verdict | Typical | Biggest | Leanest |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1–15 | 24″+ | 4 of 10 · 3 busts | Coin flip | 14" | 48" 2017 | 0" 2019 |
| Nov 16–30 | 24″+ | 4 of 10 · 1 bust | Coin flip | 21" | 47" 2014 | 6" 2023 |
| Dec 1–15 | 24″+ | 6 of 10 · 1 bust | Solid odds | 31" | 67" 2015 | 1" 2011 |
| Dec 16–31 | 30″+ | 7 of 10 · 1 bust | Solid odds | 45" | 63" 2021 | 4" 2023 |
| Jan 1–15 | 24″+ | 8 of 10 | Strong bet | 32" | 77" 2020 | 3" 2012 |
| Jan 16–31 | 30″+ | 4 of 10 · 2 busts | Coin flip | 27" | 74" 2012 | 1" 2026 |
| Feb 1–15 | 24″+ | 8 of 10 · 1 bust | Strong bet | 26" | 87" 2019 | 5" 2013 |
| Feb 16–28/29 | 24″+ | 8 of 10 | Strong bet | 32" | 69" 2019 | 5" 2015 |
| Mar 1–15 | 24″+ | 4 of 10 | Coin flip | 24" | 58" 2017 | 1" 2015 |
| Mar 16–31 | 30″+ | 3 of 10 · 3 busts | Long shot | 25" | 55" 2011 | 4" 2022 |
| Apr 1–15 | 24″+ | 5 of 10 · 3 busts | Coin flip | 16" | 40" 2026 | 5" 2025 |
| Apr 16–30 | 24″+ | 2 of 10 · 4 busts | Long shot | 11" | 31" 2022 | 1" 2025 |
Biggest and leanest are the two ends of the same 20 winters Typical is counted from — the year is when it happened, most recent first where more than one season ties.
At the snow sensor
Reading the snow sensor…
Field notes
McCall's 'best snow in Idaho' boast holds up more often than not — a modest-vert, wide-open mountain whose glades and cat-skiing terrain ride far better than the stats. Friendly, cheap, deep.
A couple of hours north of Boise; McCall is a legit lake town. A pairing piece for an Idaho swing rather than a solo destination — and the cat operation is one of the best-value guided days in the West.
Watch this window
We'll email you when Brundage's odds move on the Feb 16–28/29 window — and the quote gets recorded as it stands today, so we can be graded on it later.
Planning a whole season? See the season outlook.
These are historical odds from the last 20 winters — not a forecast. Inside 16 days of a trip, a forecast is the better instrument; beyond that, counting real seasons is the honest play. Every number on this page is quoted under methodology v1.2.0, the same math we grade ourselves against in public.