Atlas · Northern Rockies · MT
Bridger Bowl
8,800′ summit · 2,700′ vert · 2,000 acres · avg 300″/yr
Strong bet — Apr 1–15
Delivered 24″+ in 10 of the last 10 seasons
Over 20 winters: 17 of 20 · typical 37", most land 27"–43"
Before you book
This bet missed 0 of the last 10.
None of the last 10 came in under 8″ — a bust, under a third of the bet.
Odds count natural snowfall only. At snowmaking-dependent resorts, early-season cover can be fine in a low-natural-snow year.
The season, window by window
The bet: 12″ of new snow per week, scaled to each window. Counted from real seasons — how our odds work.
Bridger Bowl · the shape of a typical winter
Typical new snow, window by window
The middle season — median new snow per window, counted from the last 20 winters. A picture of timing, not a forecast. Snow is streaky; hover any window for the usual range.
| Window | Bet | Delivered | Verdict | Typical | Biggest | Leanest |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1–15 | 24″+ | 5 of 10 · 1 bust | Coin flip | 19" | 55" 2017 | 0" 2016 |
| Nov 16–30 | 24″+ | 2 of 10 · 2 busts | Long shot | 21" | 45" 2010 | 6" 2008 |
| Dec 1–15 | 24″+ | 5 of 10 | Coin flip | 21" | 38" 2016 | 8" 2011 |
| Dec 16–31 | 30″+ | 4 of 10 · 2 busts | Coin flip | 23" | 61" 2017 | 3" 2023 |
| Jan 1–15 | 24″+ | 4 of 10 · 2 busts | Coin flip | 20" | 42" 2025 | 3" 2019 |
| Jan 16–31 | 30″+ | 1 of 10 · 1 bust | Long shot | 18" | 45" 2023 | 5" 2015 |
| Feb 1–15 | 24″+ | 6 of 10 | Solid odds | 25" | 71" 2018 | 3" 2009 |
| Feb 16–28/29 | 24″+ | 6 of 10 | Solid odds | 22" | 46" 2019 | 3" 2010 |
| Mar 1–15 | 24″+ | 7 of 10 | Solid odds | 20" | 56" 2026 | 3" 2015 |
| Mar 16–31 | 30″+ | 3 of 10 · 1 bust | Long shot | 25" | 62" 2009 | 10" 2022 |
| Apr 1–15 | 24″+ | 10 of 10 | Strong bet | 37" | 75" 2018 | 7" 2016 |
| Apr 16–30 | 24″+ | 9 of 10 | Strong bet | 35" | 51" 2011 | 6" 2016 |
Biggest and leanest are the two ends of the same 20 winters Typical is counted from — the year is when it happened, most recent first where more than one season ties.
At the snow sensor
Reading the snow sensor…
Field notes
Bozeman's nonprofit locals' mountain with a nationally serious feature: the Ridge — hike-to chutes and spines that require a beacon to ride. Below it, honest bumps, trees, and cold-smoke snow.
Twenty minutes from town — base in Bozeman and ski the storm days. Ridge access requires avalanche gear, checked at the top. Cheap tickets, real culture.
Watch this window
We'll email you when Bridger Bowl's odds move on the Apr 1–15 window — and the quote gets recorded as it stands today, so we can be graded on it later.
Planning a whole season? See the season outlook.
These are historical odds from the last 20 winters — not a forecast. Inside 16 days of a trip, a forecast is the better instrument; beyond that, counting real seasons is the honest play. Every number on this page is quoted under methodology v1.2.0, the same math we grade ourselves against in public.