Atlas · Quebec/Ontario · ON
Blue Mountain
1,483′ summit · 720′ vert · 364 acres · avg 108″/yr
Long shot — Apr 1–15
Delivered 24″+ in 1 of the last 10 seasons
Over 20 winters: 1 of 20 · typical 6", most land 2"–9"
Before you book
This bet missed 9 of the last 10.
7 of the last 10 came in under 8″ — a bust, under a third of the bet.
Odds count natural snowfall only. At snowmaking-dependent resorts, early-season cover can be fine in a low-natural-snow year.
The season, window by window
The bet: 12″ of new snow per week, scaled to each window. Counted from real seasons — how our odds work.
Blue Mountain · the shape of a typical winter
Typical new snow, window by window
The middle season — median new snow per window, counted from the last 20 winters. A picture of timing, not a forecast. Snow is streaky; hover any window for the usual range.
| Window | Bet | Delivered | Verdict | Typical | Biggest | Leanest |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1–15 | 24″+ | 0 of 10 · 8 busts | Long shot | 2" | 15" 2019 | 0" 2016 |
| Nov 16–30 | 24″+ | 0 of 10 · 5 busts | Long shot | 9" | 27" 2008 | 0" 2009 |
| Dec 1–15 | 24″+ | 0 of 10 · 1 bust | Long shot | 16" | 31" 2010 | 0" 2015 |
| Dec 16–31 | 30″+ | 0 of 10 · 4 busts | Long shot | 10" | 23" 2013 | 1" 2006 |
| Jan 1–15 | 24″+ | 0 of 10 · 3 busts | Long shot | 12" | 23" 2015 | 5" 2021 |
| Jan 16–31 | 30″+ | 0 of 10 · 2 busts | Long shot | 12" | 22" 2023 | 4" 2010 |
| Feb 1–15 | 24″+ | 0 of 10 · 3 busts | Long shot | 11" | 26" 2008 | 3" 2010 |
| Feb 16–28/29 | 24″+ | 0 of 10 · 4 busts | Long shot | 9" | 22" 2023 | 1" 2017 |
| Mar 1–15 | 24″+ | 0 of 10 · 5 busts | Long shot | 8" | 20" 2023 | 1" 2010 |
| Mar 16–31 | 30″+ | 0 of 10 · 9 busts | Long shot | 4" | 14" 2019 | 1" 2012 · 2 of 20 |
| Apr 1–15 | 24″+ | 1 of 10 · 7 busts | Long shot | 6" | 24" 2018 | 0" 2023 · 2 of 20 |
| Apr 16–30 | 24″+ | 0 of 10 · 10 busts | Long shot | 2" | 8" 2012 | 0" 2017 |
Biggest and leanest are the two ends of the same 20 winters Typical is counted from — the year is when it happened, most recent first where more than one season ties.
At the snow sensor
Reading the snow sensor…
Field notes
Ontario's largest — an escarpment ridge above Georgian Bay, blanketed in snowmaking and lit for night laps. Toronto's ski valve, engineered for volume.
A couple of hours out of Toronto, with a village straight from the Intrawest playbook. It earns its atlas page as the metro region's home hill; manage expectations beyond that.
Watch this window
We'll email you when Blue Mountain's odds move on the Apr 1–15 window — and the quote gets recorded as it stands today, so we can be graded on it later.
Planning a whole season? See the season outlook.
These are historical odds from the last 20 winters — not a forecast. Inside 16 days of a trip, a forecast is the better instrument; beyond that, counting real seasons is the honest play. Every number on this page is quoted under methodology v1.2.0, the same math we grade ourselves against in public.