Atlas · Southwest · NM
Angel Fire
10,677′ summit · 2,077′ vert · 560 acres · avg 210″/yr
Coin flip — Mar 1–15
Delivered 24″+ in 5 of the last 10 seasons
Over 20 winters: 8 of 20 · typical 17", most land 8"–31"
Before you book
This bet missed 5 of the last 10.
3 of the last 10 came in under 8″ — a bust, under a third of the bet.
Odds count natural snowfall only. At snowmaking-dependent resorts, early-season cover can be fine in a low-natural-snow year.
The season, window by window
The bet: 12″ of new snow per week, scaled to each window. Counted from real seasons — how our odds work.
Angel Fire · the shape of a typical winter
Typical new snow, window by window
The middle season — median new snow per window, counted from the last 20 winters. A picture of timing, not a forecast. Snow is streaky; hover any window for the usual range.
| Window | Bet | Delivered | Verdict | Typical | Biggest | Leanest |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1–15 | 24″+ | 1 of 10 · 7 busts | Long shot | 7" | 75" 2024 | 0" 2025 · 2 of 20 |
| Nov 16–30 | 24″+ | 1 of 10 · 3 busts | Long shot | 11" | 42" 2019 | 0" 2012 |
| Dec 1–15 | 24″+ | 1 of 10 · 4 busts | Long shot | 16" | 50" 2007 | 0" 2010 |
| Dec 16–31 | 30″+ | 2 of 10 · 5 busts | Long shot | 19" | 75" 2006 | 1" 2024 |
| Jan 1–15 | 24″+ | 3 of 10 · 3 busts | Long shot | 10" | 72" 2017 | 0" 2010 |
| Jan 16–31 | 30″+ | 2 of 10 · 2 busts | Long shot | 16" | 37" 2017 | 5" 2009 |
| Feb 1–15 | 24″+ | 4 of 10 | Coin flip | 21" | 45" 2023 | 7" 2013 |
| Feb 16–28/29 | 24″+ | 2 of 10 · 1 bust | Long shot | 13" | 73" 2015 | 2" 2009 |
| Mar 1–15 | 24″+ | 5 of 10 · 3 busts | Coin flip | 17" | 87" 2019 | 1" 2026 |
| Mar 16–31 | 30″+ | 4 of 10 · 3 busts | Coin flip | 16" | 53" 2023 | 0" 2026 |
| Apr 1–15 | 24″+ | 2 of 10 · 4 busts | Long shot | 17" | 36" 2012 | 0" 2015 |
| Apr 16–30 | 24″+ | 2 of 10 · 4 busts | Long shot | 12" | 72" 2016 | 2" 2012 |
Biggest and leanest are the two ends of the same 20 winters Typical is counted from — the year is when it happened, most recent first where more than one season ties.
At the snow sensor
Reading the snow sensor…
Field notes
A friendly, family-scaled resort in the Moreno Valley — long blues, a good park, night skiing, and short punchy steeps off the summit. It's the mellow counterweight to Taos across the valley.
Worth routing here with mixed abilities in the group, or when Taos holiday crowds peak — Texas school weeks are real. Base lodging is convenient and cheaper than Taos.
Watch this window
We'll email you when Angel Fire's odds move on the Mar 1–15 window — and the quote gets recorded as it stands today, so we can be graded on it later.
Planning a whole season? See the season outlook.
These are historical odds from the last 20 winters — not a forecast. Inside 16 days of a trip, a forecast is the better instrument; beyond that, counting real seasons is the honest play. Every number on this page is quoted under methodology v1.2.0, the same math we grade ourselves against in public.